Wisconsin Still on Track to Harvest Record Soybean Acreage

12 November, 2017, 02:40 | Author: Martin Tyler
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All other 2017-18 all wheat forecasts were unchanged, as were 2016-17 estimates with 2017 carryover at 1,181 million bus. In its monthly supply and demand report, the USDA pegged the 2017 USA harvest at a record 4.425 billion bushels, on a yield of 49.5 bushels per acre. But an estimated 2.14 million acres will be run through the combines in 2017-breaking the previous record set a year ago.

USDA surprised many with the crop production forecast out this month estimating a two percent increase from last month for corn. An estimated 2.95 million acres will be harvested for grain.

US soybean production, meantime, was lowered slightly, from 4.431 billion bushels to 4.425 billion bushels.

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Based on November 1 conditions, average corn yield in 2017 was forecast at a record 175.4 bushels an acre, up 3.6 bushels from October and up 0.8 bushels from 174.6 bushels an acre in 2016, the previous record. Import supply fell slightly, too, with crushing volume, exports, seed and residual use totals all unchanged. Corn for ethanol was left unchanged at 5.475 billion bushels.

The USDA production and yield estimates all were above average trade expectations of 14,323 million bushels and 172.3 bushels an acre for corn and 4,404 million bushels and 49.2 bushels an acre for soybeans, respectively.

Wheat futures closed mixed for the day, with corn and soybean futures lower. "Some bulls were betting on a more substantial cut, and that's what triggering selling today".

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The USDA forecast the corn carryover of September 1, 2018, at 2,487 million bus. Ending stocks are 935 million bushels, which is 246 million bushels lower than a year ago but still ahead of the five-year average. It might take years for world wheat stocks to decrease significantly. The projected average farm price for 2017/18 held steady at $4.40 to $4.80 per bushel. Durum carryover was raised 1 million bus to 28 million bus based on a like increase in supply.

The next round of WASDE and Crop Production reports will be released on December 12.

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